000 02768nab a22003137a 4500
999 _c8200
_d8200
005 20250625151639.0
008 230530s2013 -nz||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 _aAFVC
100 _aVaithianathan, Rhema
_94305
245 _aChildren in the public benefit system at risk of maltreatment
_cRhema Vaithianathan, Tim Maloney, Emily Putnam-Hornstein and
_bidentification via predictive modeling
260 _bAmerican College of Preventive Medicine,
_c2013
500 _aAmerican Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2013, 45(3): 354-359
520 _aA growing body of research links child abuse and neglect to a range of negative short- and long-term health outcomes. Determining a child’s risk of maltreatment at or shortly after birth provides an opportunity for the delivery of targeted prevention services. This study presents findings from a predictive risk model (PRM) developed to estimate the likelihood of substantiated maltreatment among children enrolled in New Zealand’s public benefit system. The objective was to explore the potential use of administrative data for targeting prevention and early intervention services to children and families. A data set of integrated public benefit and child protection records for children born in New Zealand between January 1, 2003, and June 1, 2006, was used to develop a risk algorithm using stepwise probit modeling. Data were analyzed in 2012. The final model included 132 variables and produced an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 76%. Among children in the top decile of risk, 47.8% had been substantiated for maltreatment by age 5 years. Of all children substantiated for maltreatment by age 5 years, 83% had been enrolled in the public benefit system before age 2 years. This analysis demonstrates that PRMs can be used to generate risk scores for substantiated maltreatment. Although a PRM cannot replace more-comprehensive clinical assessments of abuse and neglect risk, this approach provides a simple and cost-effective method of targeting early prevention services. (Authors' abstract). Record #8200
650 _aCHILD ABUSE
_9103
650 _aCHILD NEGLECT
_9114
650 _aCHILD PROTECTION
_9118
650 _aDATA ANALYSIS
_9181
650 0 _aPREDICTIVE RISK MODELLING
_94928
650 4 _aSOCIAL SERVICES
_9555
650 _aSOCIAL WORK PRACTICE
_9562
651 4 _aNEW ZEALAND
_92588
700 _aMaloney, Tim
_95617
700 _aPutnam-Hornstein, Emily
_98517
700 _aJiang, Nan
_911993
773 0 _tAmerican Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2013, 45(3): 354-359
830 _aAmerican Journal of Preventive Medicine
_94722
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2013.04.022
_zDOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2013.04.022
942 _2ddc
_cARTICLE