000 02246nab a22002777a 4500
650 _9181
_aDATA ANALYSIS
650 _9103
_aCHILD ABUSE
999 _c5410
_d5410
005 20250625151429.0
008 170501t2016 -nz||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 _aAFVC
100 _aGillingham, Philip
_96646
245 _aPredictive risk modelling to prevent child maltreatment and other adverse outcomes for service users :
_binside the 'black box' of machine learning
_cPhilip Gillingham
260 _bOxford,
_c2016
500 _aBritish Journal of Social Work, 2016, 46(4): 1044-1058
520 _a"Recent developments in digital technology have facilitated the recording and retrieval of administrative data from multiple sources about children and their families. Combined with new ways to mine such data using algorithms which can ‘learn’, it has been claimed that it is possible to develop tools that can predict which individual children within a population are most likely to be maltreated. The proposed benefit is that interventions can then be targeted to the most vulnerable children and their families to prevent maltreatment from occurring. As expertise in predictive modelling increases, the approach may also be applied in other areas of social work to predict and prevent adverse outcomes for vulnerable service users. In this article, a glimpse inside the ‘black box’ of predictive tools is provided to demonstrate how their development for use in social work may not be straightforward, given the nature of the data recorded about service users and service activity. The development of predictive risk modelling (PRM) in New Zealand is focused on as an example as it may be the first such tool to be applied as part of ongoing reforms to child protection services." (Author's abstract). Record #5410
650 _aCHILD NEGLECT
_9114
650 _aINTERVENTION
_9326
650 0 _94928
_aPREDICTIVE RISK MODELLING
650 4 _aSOCIAL SERVICES
_9555
650 _aSOCIAL WORK PRACTICE
_9562
651 4 _aNEW ZEALAND
_92588
773 0 _tBritish Journal of Social Work, 2016, 46(4): 1044-1058
830 _aBritish Journal of Social Work
_95239
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjsw/bcv031
_yRead abstract
942 _2ddc
_cARTICLE