| 000 | 02666nab a22003737a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 999 |
_c5260 _d5260 |
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| 005 | 20250625151422.0 | ||
| 008 | 170109t2016 -nz||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d | ||
| 040 | _aAFVC | ||
| 100 |
_aCaspi, Avshalom _9897 |
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| 245 |
_aChildhood forecasting of a small segment of the population with large economic burden _cAvshalom Caspi, Renate M. Houts, Daniel W. Belsky, HonaLee Harrington, Sean Hogan, Sandhya Ramrakha, Richie Poulton and Terrie E. Moffitt |
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| 260 |
_bNJP, _c2016 |
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| 500 | _aNature Human Behaviour, 2016, Advance online publication, 12 December 2016 (Open access) | ||
| 520 | _aPolicymakers are interested in early-years interventions to ameliorate childhood risks. They hope for improved adult outcomes in the long run that bring a return on investment. The size of the return that can be expected partly depends on how strongly childhood risks forecast adult outcomes, but there is disagreement about whether childhood determines adulthood. We integrated multiple nationwide administrative databases and electronic medical records with the four-decade-long Dunedin birth cohort study to test child-to-adult prediction in a different way, using a population-segmentation approach. A segment comprising 22% of the cohort accounted for 36% of the cohort's injury insurance claims; 40% of excess obese kilograms; 54% of cigarettes smoked; 57% of hospital nights; 66% of welfare benefits; 77% of fatherless child-rearing; 78% of prescription fills; and 81% of criminal convictions. Childhood risks, including poor brain health at three years of age, predicted this segment with large effect sizes. Early-years interventions that are effective for this population segment could yield very large returns on investment. (Authors' abstract). Record #5260 | ||
| 650 |
_aDOMESTIC VIOLENCE _9203 |
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| 650 |
_aADVERSE CHILDHOOD EXPERIENCES _94089 |
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| 650 | 4 |
_aBRAIN DEVELOPMENT _92691 |
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| 650 | 4 |
_aCHILD EXPOSURE TO VIOLENCE _9130 |
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| 650 | 0 |
_94056 _aDunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study |
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| 650 | 0 |
_aINTERVENTION _9326 |
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| 650 | 5 |
_aLONGITUDINAL STUDIES _9351 |
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| 650 | 5 |
_aRISK FACTORS _9505 |
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| 651 | 4 |
_aNEW ZEALAND _92588 |
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| 700 |
_aHouts, Renate _95652 |
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| 700 |
_aBelsky, Daniel W. _96317 |
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| 700 |
_aHarrington, HonaLee _95651 |
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| 700 |
_aHogan, Sean _95654 |
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| 700 |
_aRamrakha, Sandhya _95653 |
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| 700 |
_91937 _aPoulton, Richie |
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| 700 |
_aMoffitt, Terrie E. _91743 |
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| 773 | 0 | _tNature Human Behaviour, 2016, Advance online publication, 12 December 2016 (Open access) | |
| 830 |
_aNature Human Behaviour _96318 |
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| 856 | _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41562-016-0005 | ||
| 942 |
_2ddc _cARTICLE |
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