The limits of predicting near lethal and lethal family and intimate partner violence (Record no. 8852)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02935nab a22002657a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250625151708.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 240805s2024 ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency AFVC
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Trood, Michael D.
9 (RLIN) 13253
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title The limits of predicting near lethal and lethal family and intimate partner violence
Statement of responsibility, etc Michael D. Trood, Benjamin L. Spivak, James R. P. Ogloff, and Troy E. McEwan
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Name of publisher, distributor, etc CRIMRXIV,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2024
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc Accurate assessment of the risk of fatal family or intimate partner violence (FIPV), particularly of intimate partner homicide (IPH), has long been a clinical and research goal.  Although several risk assessments have been developed to assist in this task, limited validation methodologies in past research mean that it remains unclear whether fatal FIPV can be accurately predicted. This study aimed to address this research gap using a prospective methodology. Prediction of lethal and near lethal FIPV was tested in a full population cohort (n = 38,454) of unique perpetrator and victim dyads recorded by police over 7 months between September 2019 and March 2020 in the Australian state of Victoria. The predictive validity of an actuarial risk assessment instrument (ARAI) previously validated for general FIPV risk and of 12 widely recognized risk factors for male-to-female IPH were assessed over a 12-month follow-up period. Neither the ARAI, individual IPH risk factors, nor a model developed from the IPH risk factors, accurately predicted which dyads subsequently came to police attention for lethal or near lethal FIPV. All methods misclassified many thousands of dyads as high risk who did not have subsequently reported lethal/near lethal FIPV. These findings were attributable to both the low base rate of lethal/near lethal FIPV during the follow-up period (a universal phenomenon), and the commonality of widely recognized risk markers for male-to-female IPH in FIPV cases reported to police. These results indicate that when evaluated using a prospective design, existing assessments of FIPV homicide risk are likely to overestimate the risk of homicide in a very substantial number of cases. This suggests that a public health approach to the prevention of FIPV homicide may be of greater utility than trying to accurately identify cases at high risk of a low base rate event such as homicide. (Authors abstract). Record #8852
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element DOMESTIC VIOLENCE
9 (RLIN) 203
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element FAMILY VIOLENCE
9 (RLIN) 252
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element HOMICIDE
9 (RLIN) 297
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element INTIMATE PARTNER VIOLENCE
9 (RLIN) 431
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element RISK ASSESSMENT
9 (RLIN) 504
651 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Geographic name INTERNATIONAL
9 (RLIN) 3624
651 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Geographic name UNITED KINGDOM
9 (RLIN) 2604
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Spivak, Benjamin L.
9 (RLIN) 13254
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 4355
Personal name Ogloff, James R.P.
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name McEwan, Troy E.
9 (RLIN) 13255
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://doi.org/10.21428/cb6ab371.253db452">https://doi.org/10.21428/cb6ab371.253db452</a>
Public note DOI: 10.21428/cb6ab371.253db452 (Open access)
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Short paper
Classification part news129
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Date acquired Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     Vine library Vine library 05/08/2024   Online ON24080006 05/08/2024 05/08/2024 Access online